odds of government shutdown in 2015
Lauren Girardin September 29, 2015.2. No one knows if the government shutdown will happen. The odds of a government shutdown change by the hour. Right now, it looks like a government shutdown may be avoided—for now. WASHINGTON — Hurricane Harvey may help Congress delay a possible government shutdown and put off a fight over the federal budget.In an odd kind of way, Harvey becomes the horse that draws the debt ceiling and CR carts. Odd. Human Interest.The possibility of a government shutdown in 2015 has been on the minds of many politicians, and although it was somewhat forgotten in the excitement of Pope Francis visit to Washington this week, news that John Boehner will resign has reignited fears of a shutdown. One day later, and with the Senate set to vote on a stopgap bill which appears unlikely to pass, Goldman has nearly doubled its shutdown odds, and as of this morning, the banks chief economist Jan Hatzius said that there is now a 60 of a government shutdown, in our view The president has reportedly gone so far as to suggest that a government shutdown spurred by a refusal to negotiate with Democrats would be politically expedient. (His legislative director, Marc Short, denied this, telling the Post, Hes not advocating for a shutdown in any way.) It also is not at all clear that House Republicans or the four GOP senators running for president view a government shutdown as an event to be feared politically or that they are worried about being blamed should one occur.Its far more likely the odds will get worse rather than better. One day later, and with the Senate set to vote on a stopgap bill which appears unlikely to pass, Goldman has nearly doubled its shutdown odds, and as of this morning, the banks chief economist Jan Hatzius said that there is now a 60 of a government shutdown, in our view CRS (2015): Funding Gaps and Government Shutdowns. CRS (2015): The FY 2014 Government Shutdown Economic Effects.The Atlantic (2013) The Odd Story of the Law That Dictates How Government Shutdowns Work. 2015 Archive.Trumps wish may be problematic: as a reminder, the government will shut down midnight on April 28 if Congress cannot agree on a spending bill.Others, such as Goldman see shutdown odds at one in three (and rising). odds of winning mega millions. Thursday, February 08, 2018.
Another Government Shutdown?Some government agencies will run out of money and have to furlough workers if Congress lets funding lapse. A shutdown would be the second in less than a month. The Odds of a Government Shutdown Next Month Are the chances of a political crisis A partial government shutdown prompted by failure to passAug 03, 2015 Now 60 Chance Of A Government Shutdown. Adrian Brohma December 9th, 2015. Another shutdown threat and it may not necessarily be such a bad thing at this point Lets see, have our government working on spending our money overseas, or count the tax dollars saved when the governments shutdown for awhile.Odds. Betting. We already view the odds of an October liftoff as low and a government shutdown could lower them further.September 23, 2015 at 1:48 pm | Reply. Any deal based on a house of cardsis a fantasy! After so many government shutdown threats in the past, investors seem to be mostly ignoring the noise out of Washington.
Despite the looming deadline, the SPDR SP 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) is up 1.3 percent over the past five trading sessions. Odds of a government shutdown? 25 percent. Budget-watcher Emily Holubowich handicaps the coming standoff: who could win and lose, and why the word shutdown is likeLets ignore the deja vu factor and skip right to the key question: Will the U.S. government shut down this week? U.S. Government Threatens Shut down OCT 1 2015.McConnell Rules Out 2015 Government Shutdown, Debt Default U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell, who is expected to become the Senate majority leader in January when Republicans take control of the 21/04/2017 Congress wont shut down the government Friday. The House and Senate just passed a spending bill to keep the government open for one week, and PresidentPeople are underrating the odds of a government shutdown That short-term government 21.